Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.001716 0.001789 0.001864 0.001949 0.002040 0.002138 0.002249
2025-07-13 0.001552 0.001650 0.001755 0.001877 0.002017 0.002173 0.002362
2025-07-20 0.001469 0.001585 0.001714 0.001870 0.002055 0.002270 0.002546
2025-07-27 0.001415 0.001547 0.001696 0.001882 0.002110 0.002388 0.002762
2025-08-03 0.001358 0.001499 0.001662 0.001868 0.002130 0.002460 0.002924
2025-08-10 0.001325 0.001475 0.001652 0.001883 0.002183 0.002575 0.003155
2025-08-17 0.001284 0.001439 0.001626 0.001873 0.002201 0.002644 0.003327
2025-08-24 0.001243 0.001402 0.001595 0.001853 0.002204 0.002689 0.003468
2025-08-31 0.001232 0.001399 0.001606 0.001888 0.002283 0.002848 0.003807
2025-09-07 0.001210 0.001382 0.001597 0.001896 0.002322 0.002952 0.004072
2025-09-14 0.001178 0.001352 0.001570 0.001876 0.002320 0.002991 0.004228
2025-09-21 0.001146 0.001319 0.001538 0.001849 0.002304 0.003006 0.004343
2025-09-28 0.001121 0.001295 0.001518 0.001837 0.002313 0.003064 0.004554
2025-10-05 0.001078 0.001247 0.001463 0.001774 0.002241 0.002982 0.004472
2025-10-12 0.001058 0.001228 0.001448 0.001768 0.002254 0.003046 0.004706
2025-10-19 0.001046 0.001220 0.001446 0.001779 0.002295 0.003160 0.005078
2025-10-26 0.001026 0.001200 0.001428 0.001767 0.002298 0.003207 0.005307
2025-11-02 0.001017 0.001194 0.001428 0.001780 0.002343 0.003335 0.005772
2025-11-09 0.001000 0.001177 0.001413 0.001771 0.002350 0.003392 0.006069
2025-11-16 0.000981 0.001158 0.001393 0.001753 0.002341 0.003417 0.006285
2025-11-23 0.000980 0.001161 0.001406 0.001785 0.002419 0.003625 0.007147
2025-11-30 0.000970 0.001154 0.001402 0.001792 0.002453 0.003747 0.007802
2025-12-07 0.000954 0.001136 0.001384 0.001774 0.002443 0.003770 0.008105